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Topic: 2010 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy and Advice
Brendan_106922
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Joined: September 09
Total Posts: 7
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Post Date: 08/24/10 11:07
Our league is a 12 team/14rd draft...this year we have eliminated the flex position and added a 2nd QB to the starting lineup (2QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1DEF).  Having said that, QBs are now more important than ever - would you recommend grabbing a Rodgers, Breese or Manning with the 1st pick over a RB1.  The league is standard scoring.
 Russ Bliss_108
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Post Date: 08/24/10 11:23
Why does a 12 team league give up the flex option and require you start 2 QB's instead of just instituting the option to flex a second QB instead of an extra RB/WR/TE? By requiring it, at least 4 teams are going to have to be light at the position during bye weeks as there are only 32 QB's in the league and not every team is going to get 3 (since that add up to 36) and it's likely a couple of teams will grab 4 QB's for trading purposes to those unfortunate few who end up getting shafted and have only 2 (or worse, 1).
 
As I stated in another reply about 2 QB leagues in this very thread:
 
"In leagues where you start 2 QB's it is, in my opinion, imperative that you get 2 of the top 14 QB's from my 2010 fantasy football QB rankings since that is where I draw the cutoff this season between the high value/consistent QB's and those who come with a substantial amount of risk. And only you know your league well enough to know whether that is going to cost you 2 of your first 3 rounds picks, or not.
 
But usually, when everyone is grabbing QB's it means there are great values at other positions to be had. I'd use the tier sheets from the Draft Analyzer to see if maybe a value that's too good to pass up is there instead of grabbing a second QB.
 
Besides, if you wait some, you may still get a decent second QB with a fair amount of upside like Matt Stafford, or Kyle Orton, etc and still be able to play 2 QB's."
 
Since yours is a 12 team league, QB's are likely to be going higher than even normal in 10 or 8 team leagues where they start 2. You'll probably have to spend 2 of your first 4 picks on QB's and maybe 2 of your first 3. Since you only have to start 2 RB's and 2 WR's, unless you pick in the top 3, I'd definitely be looking at QB. In the top 3, I'm still more inclined to grab AP, CJ, or MJD and then grab 2 QB's in rounds 2 and 3 unless 14 of them have gone by then.
 
I'd also be prepared to take a 3rd QB in whatever round we start seeing those ranked 20 and below start going off the board. And definitely make sure each QB has a different bye week.
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On any given Sunday any fantasy team can beat another, only to still lose Monday night.
Bulla808_103938
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Joined: September 09
Total Posts: 255
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Post Date: 08/25/10 00:21
This year I am in a Yahoo Yardage League, 12 Owners, 2 WR 's and 1 Flex Player.  Would you stick to the same advice on draft day for the flex player (QB/WR/RB/TE)?  If not, what would you change on draft day? 
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Team1:
10 Team Yahoo Yardage League (1 point per 10 yards)6 pts TD, 1 pt 25 yds/ passing 4 pts passing TD (Starts 2RB, 2WR, 1 TE, & 1 Flex W/R/T)

QB: C. Kaepernick, E. Manning
RB: T. Richardson, F. Gore, D. Murray, D. Richardson
WR: C. Johnson, R. White, C. Shorts, V. Brown, K. Thompkins
TE: J. Cook
D: Patriots
K: P. Dawson

Team2:
14 Team Yahoo Yardage League (1 point per 10 yards)6 pts TD, 1 pt 25 yds/ passing 4 pts passing TD (Starts 2RB, 2WR, 1 TE, & 1 Flex W/R/T)

QB: Brees
RB: J. Charles, M Jones-Drew, R. Bush, B. Rainey, L. Bell
WR: E. Decker, J. Boykin, K. Stills, N. Burleson
TE: J. Cameron, D. Pitta
D: Panthers
K: S. Hauschka
BigDaddyK_121418
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Post Date: 08/25/10 13:04
Quick question.  After running the draft analyzers, both regular and
raw, what do the numbers in parenthesis under the 'fantasy score' column
mean?  I assume the numbers to the left of the parenthesis are the projected season point totals.  Thanks for your help.
 Russ Bliss_108
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Post Date: 08/25/10 13:34
There is a post in the Draft Help forum that explains it. It is titled Draft Analyzer: Total Points and Value Based Draft Number.
 
As for Brandon, I'd stay the course unless QB's get a lot of points in your league and a second great QB falls to you earlier. Depending on how things are shaking out, I might even consider 2 QB in the first 6-7 rounds.
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On any given Sunday any fantasy team can beat another, only to still lose Monday night.
Philly Phreak_77455
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Joined: August 08
Total Posts: 994
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Post Date: 08/26/10 06:33
Hey Russ, great stuff. I saw this too late last year to use, but have it printed out for my big$$ league this year drafting this Sunday. I have a free league that I am drafting in on Saturday that I will use as practice.
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2012 Champ!

2013 Main Team:
QB: Foles, Vick, Cutler
RB: Trent Richardson, MJD, Demarco Murray,Joique Bell
WR: Dwayne Bowe, Steve Smith, Lance Moore, Riley Cooper
TE: Tony Gonzales, Heath Miller
K: Gostkowski, Bailey
DST: Packers
*************************************
Non PPR League
6 pts per TD
1pt per 10 yds rushing or receiving

Start: 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1FLEX(R/W/T), K, DST.
tricknickel_108849
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Joined: September 09
Total Posts: 2609
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Post Date: 08/26/10 17:43
I get 1 pt per 20 yards on kick and punt returns as well. Any good ideas? (outside of cribbs and desean jackson)
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.5 PPR, 1pt-10yds, 6pts-TD, 1pt-25yds passing
1qb,2rb,2wr,1te,1flex,K/Def
------------------
TrickNickel
QB-Kaepernick, Vick
RB-D.Martin,D.Wilson,G.Bernard,McGahee, JStew,Ball
WR-M.Colston,T.Smith,Amendola, J.Blackmon,
TE-J.Cameron
K-B.Walsh
DEF-Rotate Weekly

Sacks Machine
Qb-RG3,P.Manning
Wr-V.Cruz,P.Garcon, Torrey Smith, K.Allen(IR-Cobb)
Rb-McCoy,Rice,T.Richardson,S.Greene,JStew,A.Brown
Te-Graham
K-Walsh
Def-Seattle
RobinGoodfellow_121455
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Joined: August 10
Total Posts: 14
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Post Date: 08/27/10 00:09
Hey Russ,
I've been a member for a couple of days and have been reading through the site/forums soaking up as much info as possible. Firstly, I'm sur eyou hear this alot but, awesome work! You've really helped me more than i'd ever have imagined. Thank You.
I've got the 8th pick in a 12 team 16rd draft. (starters: 1QB, 2WR, 2RB, 1TE, 1K, 1D, 1W/R) I've been really agonizing over what my best course of action is. This is what i'm thinking:
Rd 1. Top 2 QB (if not RB) Rd. 2 Top 5 WR and assuming that goes right, RB's with my next 2 picks.
I guess I really just want to know what you think of this strategy and whether or not I'm out of my mind. Thanks in advance for the help/scolding.
 Russ Bliss_108
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Total Posts: 19876
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Post Date: 08/27/10 08:45
For Jeff I'd use the Tier sheets and then place an asterisk next to some of the players who, in addition to their offensive production, also regularly return kicks. Besides the two you mention, guys like Ted Ginn in SF, Danny Amendola in St. Louis, Eddie Royal in Denver, Percy Harvin in Minnesota, and Darren Sproles in San Diego to signify that these guys would also potentially provide return yards that could boost their value up one or two tiers. But for the most part, I don't like relying on return yards as a real determining factor for my drafts since those players who are not part of their teams offense at all who do returns are only going to score 50 or so points for an entire season based solely on their return production.
 
For Robin, your league is nearly a perfect fit for my strategy as spelled out. You could execute it the way you propose to, but I'd rather wait til round 2 for one of the top 3 QB's and make sure I get either the RB or WR in round 1. Especially if you pick in the first 6-7 picks.  
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On any given Sunday any fantasy team can beat another, only to still lose Monday night.
RobinGoodfellow_121455
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Joined: August 10
Total Posts: 14
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Post Date: 08/27/10 12:41
Hey Russ,
thanks for the advice. As I said I have the 8th pick. After reading your post i'm leaning towards going Rd1. Andre Johnson and Rd2 Top3 QB. Is that still a good move if i'm drafting that late in the draft? Thanks
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