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Topic: 2010 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy and Advice
Frank _4538
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Joined: August 05
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Post Date: 08/27/11 08:44
Russ, I am in a 10 team league and have the 1st, 20th, 30th etc pick. I hate this position. I was planning on taking either Brady or Rogers 1st but then read this draft strategy. Who would your 1st pick be? How close should I follow your strategy? Any advice much appreciated Russ.
 Throwball Heroes_118522
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Post Date: 08/27/11 08:45
What's the scoring for you league? Personally, I can't justify a QB at 1.01 regardless of scoring myself.
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Stephen
http://www.the6thfloor.com/category/fantasy-football-2/

"Bringing confusion and contradiction to YOUR post!"
"ISIYBITSI" -Russ Bliss
 Russ Bliss_108
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Post Date: 08/30/11 09:55
Sorry for not responding to any questions sooner, but really, questions should go in the other forums so it gets more exposure and a better chance of being responded to by the community. Also include an idea of your scoring system and starting requirements as they make a difference.
 
For Charlie, 8 team leagues are easier to draft for as there are fewer players off the board after each round. It becomes pretty easy to predict what the teams drafting around are going to do so you can use the Tiers easier to see where you're next best pick is.
 
For Gary, I wouldn't take Michael Vick in round 1 of any draft unless I start 2 QB's every week. Even then, there are 4 other QB's I like better than Vick (Rodgers, Brees, Brady, and Rivers). While each doesn't have the huge upside of Vick, each has proven there are amongst the elite for more than just one season.
 
Same thing for Frank, as far as taking a QB with the first overall pick. Unless you start 2 QB's every week, there's no reason to do it. And even if you do start 2, with one of the first 2 picks, I'd take AP or Foster and hope to get one or two QB's in the 2/3 turn.
 
 
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On any given Sunday any fantasy team can beat another, only to still lose Monday night.
Terry_105745
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Joined: September 09
Total Posts: 5
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Post Date: 08/31/11 14:45
Russ, I have the 2nd pick tomorrow night and I know that your advice says that I should take a RB. If, as I suspect, the first pick will be Vick, do I take RB Foster-Hou or another RB? Or should I take WR Johnson-HOU? Thanks for the help.
kcRhyno_122790
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Total Posts: 15
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Post Date: 09/01/11 20:52
i followed this plan to the T last year.  If Russ would have been in my place, his team would have looked identicle to mine. I used his draft analyzer along with this strategy....  I missed the playoffs and had a crappy season.  very dissapointed, dont know what i will do this year yet, draft is this Sunday.  Either going to try ESPN or CBS, but I dont think i will be spending my money on FFS again.
 Throwball Heroes_118522
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Post Date: 09/02/11 04:45
Yea missed the playoffs? Same here but it wasn't because of the tools I used on FFS. It was how I interpreted the data it spit out. I made some bad decisions that cost me the seaon during the draft. FFS like others provide you with the tools they are no guarantee you will win. Russ's strategy is solid. I have used something similar for years and it works. There is some luck involved in fantasy football.
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Stephen
http://www.the6thfloor.com/category/fantasy-football-2/

"Bringing confusion and contradiction to YOUR post!"
"ISIYBITSI" -Russ Bliss
tinninches_154343
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Post Date: 09/02/11 05:41
This will be my first time buying any type of FFL software and I'm hoping it will pay off in the end.  Draft is Sunday, just wish it wasn't w/ yahoo....Thanks for the write up, seems like a pretty solid base line.
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10 team-Yahoo League-Non-PPR
 Throwball Heroes_118522
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Post Date: 09/02/11 09:01
It's a money back guarantee! I don't work for FFS but I found their site by mistake last year (June 2010) and it has been the best purchase I have made for fantasy football...ever! I've played since 1983 and didn't start using an online service until 2000 or so. I think the tool FFS offers are very good for helping create your cheat sheets. But remember they are just tools, the same can be said about Russ's strategy guide he developed. Also, if you bought the championship package, I HIGHLY recommend you read the PDF attachement, "How to Win at Fantasy Football" which was included in your welcome letter. I really get much more value out of the the discussions with other owners on the forums. The information and tips on a weekly basis are invaluable! Best of luck, let us know how you do in your draft.
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Stephen
http://www.the6thfloor.com/category/fantasy-football-2/

"Bringing confusion and contradiction to YOUR post!"
"ISIYBITSI" -Russ Bliss
 Russ Bliss_108
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Post Date: 09/02/11 11:42
For kcRhyno, would have to see exactly who you drafted. I know that 5 weeks into the season you had Cutler and Orton at QB (Cutler disappointed, but Orton was performing amongst the top QB's until about week 11), RB's MJD and Bradshaw (great yardage seasons, but only a combined 15 TD's, MJD only had 7 after having had 54 the prior 4 seasons combined, but I know I should have ignored his 13.5 TD avg that he scored more than 3 of those 4 prior years; Bradshaw had his best yardage and TD season), WR's Steve Smith (yeah, whiffed on that one last year, but was looking okay the first two weeks with a TD and 60+ yards each game, but really went downhill after Matt Moore got injured during week 2 and the Panthers turned to Jimmy Clausen), Derrick Mason (he was much more mediocre than I expected), Mark Clayton (good until he got injured week 5), and Steve Johnson (I assume either a late round flier or a smart free agent pickup who ran off a stretch from weeks 3-10 with either 1 or more TD's or over 100 yards receiving in 7 of those 8 weeks), TE's Brent Celek and John Carlson (I was alone in the fantasy world who though Celek would duplicate his 2009 success with Kolb at QB and I shoud have foreseen Kolb was going to get injured week 1 and that Vick would then fairly well ignore him and pay attention only to D-Jax and Maclin; I should have also had the foresight to see that Carlson would have 6 fewer TD's in 2010 than he had in 2009 too).
 
Not sure what you did for free agent moves or starting lineups each week, and know you didn't use the Lineup or Trade Analyzer's as you just had the Draft Package.
 
I also know you railed me for the week 8 survivor pool pick of Dallas over Jacksonville (my first whiff on the survivor pool at that time, but I had the worst year I've ever had with game picks last year and it's a good thing I'm the type who did his best to hide it, and make sure I wasn't around every week to post it and take the lumps for it).
 
I hope you find someone who makes no mistakes, whatsoever. Is perfect in all projections, picks no losers every week in games, and can see all injuries coming the week before they happen, and is more up front about it and accessible than I am. When you find him, get his lottery numbers, and thank him for this beautiful planet and universe he created.
 
The round by round instructions are a guideline to avoid common mistakes made by novice drafters, or those who find themselves drafting "crappy" teams year after year. Teams that don't usually find themselves having 2 RB's who both have over 1,500 combined yards, a 1,000 yard WR, and a QB who throws for an avg 281 yards and 1.54 TD's each game.
 
Fantasy football, like I've said for 15 years, is about preparation and luck. And good prep puts you in the best position to win each week, but good luck will trump it every time. I suppose I should add that bad luck will also stomp it into ground every time too.
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On any given Sunday any fantasy team can beat another, only to still lose Monday night.
tinninches_154343
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Total Posts: 184
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Post Date: 09/02/11 18:04
Holy S****.  Just typed up this overly winded post just to find out that you are not able to stay signed in to the site? (is there a way around this?)

So I'll keep my OP, on the short side.

I have 3rd pick and was looking for suggestions for my 1st rd?
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10 team-Yahoo League-Non-PPR
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