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Topic: Why is analyzer so hard on this trade?
Membership: Retired
Joined: August 05
Total Posts: 11
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Post Date: 09/27/06 11:03
I have Alexander and need to supplement his loss.Would trade Driver and Chester Taylor for Barber and Lee Evans. I would also have Foster, Addai, Barlow, and Alexander if he comes back and start 2. For receivers I would also have Chambers, Coles, Porter, and Devery Henderson and start 3. (could also add Randel El, T. taylor, Troy Brown, from Waivers). The trade analyzer ripped me a new one for this deal. But with Alexander's status so uncertain it doesn't look that bad to me and I don't think my current backs can carry me through the season. Thoughts?
 Russ Bliss_108
Membership: Starter
Joined: September 04
Total Posts: 19878
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Post Date: 09/27/06 12:05
I'm not quite sure. Glancing at it, I think it's a good trade for you. I ran it thru a standard performance style scoring system and got a similar result. It says the loss you get from Driver to Evans (or any of the WR's you'd get to play in place of Driver those weeks showing red) is greater than the current upgrade you'd get from going from Taylor to Barber.

Now, I will say that the system can only crunch hard data and cannot "speculate" that Taylor won't be able to keep up the pace he's on for. What it does see is that Barber has yet to find the end zone in 3 games and that the Giants have scored 9 offensive TD's this season, but only one on the ground (and that went to Brandon Jacobs). There are some other stats being crunched here as well that don't work favorably for Barber thru the first 3 games whereas Chester Taylor does show favorably in these categories. Would it surprise you to learn that Chester Taylor has had 10 times as many touches inside an opponents 20 yard line than Barber thru 3 games? Now will that continue the rest of the season? Can't say myself and neither can the TRAN. But it is a hard data fact thru almost 20% of the season. There are many things that can effect the calculations.

Add in the report that Xander may actually be able to come back sooner (as early as this week, even though the realistic chances of that are remote in my opinion) than anticipated and there might not be as great a need for a trade like this.

But just sounding it out to myself (Taylor and Driver for Barber and Evans) and I'd take it.
On any given Sunday any fantasy team can beat another, only to still lose Monday night.
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