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Topic: Shonn Greene: 2011 Fantasy Bounceback Player of the Year
 Russ Bliss_108
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Post Date: 02/28/11 13:53
If you all remember last year, Rick Perkins from FantasyFootballTrader.com invited myself and several other fantasy analysts to participate in a series of roundtable discussions. Each week there'd be a new topic pertinent to the upcoming fantasy landscape and we'd all submit our thoughts on the topic. Well, Rick was delighted in how it went and has asked us all to join in again. The first topic this year was "Bounceback Player of the Year" for the 2011 season. The following is my exact submission to that topic:
 
 
"I'm going to stay away from naming any of the obvious candidates whose seasons were clearly derailed because of injury (like New Orleans RB Pierre Thomas). I'm also going to stay away from guys who were huge disappointments because of exceedingly high expectations but still managed to put up a good overall stat line (for example, Arizona Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald who had 90 receptions for 1,137 yards and 6 TD's).
 
 
Instead, I'll take New York Jets RB Shonn Greene as my 2011 "Bounceback Player of the Year". Despite the acquisition of LaDainian Tomlinson, heading into 2010 Greene was still considered to be a top 20 fantasy RB and was being drafted by the end of round 3 in almost fantasy draft even the week before the 2010 season began. Greene "rewarded" his owners by finishing with 766 rushing yards and an extremely disappointing 2 rushing TD's. This was far short of what was expected from him after his stellar post-season performances the year before. What made it worse was that the only game he missed was New York's meaningless last regular season game. While the Jets passed more in 2010 than they did in 2009, they were still one of the few teams to have more rushing attempts than passing attempts in the league. Mark Sanchez is developing into a better QB than I thought he would when he first came into the league, but I still expect the Jets to be one of the few offenses that rely more heavily on their rushing attack again in 2011 than most teams. That's just their nature. Under two years with Rex Ryan at the helm, they've proven time and time again that when they have a lead on an opponent, their preference is to use their rushing attack to pound defenses into submission and run out the clock in the process. With LaDainian Tomlinson likely gone in 2011, and Joe McKnight best suited for a change of pace and pass catching RB role, the door is open wide for Greene to excel as the Jets feature RB in his 3rd NFL season and have a very strong 2011 campaign."
 
 
Seven different analysts gave their choices and (what a surprise) none of us chose the same player. You can check out who the other fantasy analysts chose, along with my thoughts on each selection.
 
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 Throwball Heroes_118522
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Post Date: 02/28/11 14:27
Intersting choice, Russ. I was one of those disappointed owners in 2010 who wasted a high draft choice on him, only to end up frustrated all season long. It was intersting to see the Jets throw more in 2011 than they did in 2010. With Sanchez maturing what sort of split will Rex Ryan implement in the offense? I don't think you can look away from a very good running offense. I like your choice of Greene as a comeback player in 2011. He does seem more likely than some of the other players selected. Now, would I draft him? Once bitten...eh, maybe.

Not sure what to think abotu J Stew. I think Carolina has some serious QB issues that need to be addressed. If they cannot find a worthwhile starter and continue to cycle bodies through there it could difficult for Stewart and Goodson to run.
McKnight had a nice showing to end the 2011 season, which I am sure has, as you said LT on the way out, as he is expected to make $2.6 million in 2011. Who knows with Darren Sproles a FA and most likely not returning to SD, I say the Bolts pick him back for for that 3rd down option.

I know you said you didn't select any injured players, I like Ryan Mathews to bounce back for San Diego. He did miss parts of 4 games, but early on, he was not all that effective running the ball. I do like how he looked upon his return after missing 4 games, given 20-25 carries in that high powered offense, I think he will be able to do big things.
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 Throwball Heroes_118522
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Post Date: 03/01/11 15:28
So much for my take on the Jets letting LT go. Guess the $2.6 was affordable to let him finish out the 2011 season in a complentary roll to Shonn Greene who will be the starter. Hmm, didn't we hear that last year too?
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 Russ Bliss_108
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Post Date: 03/02/11 08:59
The difference this year is that the Jets saw that LT can't carry the load like they tried having him do in 2010. This should lead to Greene being their primary RB with LT as change of pace and 3rd down RB.
 
Of course, I said the same thing last year, but at least this time the Jets have seen what happened when they didn't use Greene as often as they should have.
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 Throwball Heroes_118522
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Post Date: 03/02/11 10:00
Yeah, Greene never really got going unfortunately. Hopefully it doesn't swing completely opposite, where Green does all the work and LT gets the goal line swing pass to sweep to score. I do agree Greene picks up the majority of the workload in 2011.
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 Jeff Coruccini_6
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Post Date: 03/04/11 03:56
Greene did a good job in the playoffs and gained back the confidence of his teammates. While LT humbled him a bit iI think LT is going to drop off significantly this year and that will be attributed to "father time".
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 Throwball Heroes_118522
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Post Date: 03/04/11 06:35
Yeah he did Jeff. Then again, early in the 2010 he was much more productive with his touches than Greene was (thru Wk 6). After that point he never had more than 57 yards rushing and only 1 more TD on the season. After Wk 6 it was Greene who was more productive on the ground, still not what we would desire in a #2 RB. A player in their second year are seemingly bitten by the "sophmore slump" maybe this is how Greene got around that and will produce some good numbers in 2011.
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Stephen
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 Thomas _5045
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Post Date: 07/13/11 11:34
I have Greene in my dynasty league and am hoping you're right. So far the reports sound good for him to get 300 carries.
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 James_4852
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Post Date: 07/14/11 17:54
I don't trust this guy at all.
 
James
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