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Topic: 11 draft spot in a 12 teamer
Dan_149152
Membership: Retired
Joined: August 11
Total Posts: 33
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Post Date: 08/29/12 19:54
Hi Guys,

Hoping for a little discussion/insight into some strategy for my team this year.

0.5 PPR 1 QB, 2 WR, 2 RB, 1 TE, 1 FLEX (TE/WR), DST, IDP, IDP

Points are fairly standard (nothing too crazy)

I was curious if there was any observations on draft strategy for this spot. I have done some mocks and feel they are not going as well as I would like. Obviosuly it really depends on what happens in front of me, but having an idea of what to expect is always helpful when you have to make on the spot decisions.

I have done a few where i have gone Rb/Qb and those were ok, I have also gone Wr/Qb and Wr/ Rb, and TE/QB in the first two rounds. I have some targeted guys that I like this season and have an idea of the rounds that it looks like I can get them. But it really is dependent on the way I go in the first few rounds.

Would you take Graham or Gronk in R1? What about Newton on the turn? or Do I wait until later rounds and scoop up say a Ryan, Cutler, Manning, or Dalton?

Basically just looking for a little insight into what people think might be a decent strategy for this spot.

Thanks,

Dan
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QB:Vick, Dalton,
RB:Forte, Charles, , Rodgers, D. Wilson,
WR:B. Lloyd, D. Bryant, J. Gordon, Hartline, Hixon, Hilton, Hawkins
TE: Pitta, Rudolph

DEF:Atlanta
IDP: Watt, Lee
12 team 0.5 PPR start 1QB/2RB/2WR/1TE/1 Flex(WR/TE)//DEF/2IDP
Cody_100138
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Joined: August 09
Total Posts: 3984
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Post Date: 08/29/12 20:32
I'm picking same spot with similar scoring/rosters and plan to take McFadden and Charles. Or, if they're not both there a combo of Murray, Forte or AP in that order to replace one.
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- Fantasy Football Ninja
Throwball Heroes_118522
Moderator
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Joined: June 10
Total Posts: 14936
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Post Date: 08/30/12 10:15
You might use this scenario calculator to see how a draft could play out at the 11 pick in a PPR league. It won't give you a strategy, but it will give you some idea how the board could look when your pick comes up. I don't think I would chase a QB at the 11 spot, opting for RB/RB to start.

No way could I comfortably take a TE in round 1. I have a very hard time saying draft a TE in round 2. They are projected 1 and 2 this year, but it's a unique strategy, not one I would use in a 12 team draft.

A QB at 2 isn't out of the question. I do think Newton is in for a letdown. He won't rush for 14 TDs again, which were a bulk of his points last year. I would bypass him in round 2 and pick up a QB after the 4th (Ryan, E Manning, P Manning).
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Stephen
http://www.the6thfloor.com/category/fantasy-football-2/

"Bringing confusion and contradiction to YOUR post!"
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Cody_100138
Membership: Retired
Joined: August 09
Total Posts: 3984
Favorite Team:

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Post Date: 08/30/12 11:59
Normally I'd agree with not taking a TE so early, but Gronk and Graham are special cases. If you put TE in w/ WR rankings they were 2nd and 6th respectively in ESPN Standard Scoring. And the value of having someone that scores that high in your TE spot is pretty huge.



If you're a fan of value based evaluations, Gronk and Megatron had almost identical value compared to baselines in a 1TE and 2WR league. Gronk was actually 3.5pts more valuable. Similarly Graham held almost the exact same value as last years number 2 overall WR(Welker) in your league's scoring. So, it's definitely not crazy to take a TE in the 1st or 2nd...as hard as that is to say.
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- Fantasy Football Ninja
Dan_149152
Membership: Retired
Joined: August 11
Total Posts: 33
Offline
Post Date: 08/30/12 17:53
Thanks so much for the input guys. I appreciate it.

The more mocks I do, it seems to make sense to wait for QB until later (unless one of the top 3 slides down to me). There seems to be some good value later (meaning round 4&5).

TE does seem risky in Rd.1 or 2 as there does appear to be some value later on again (Hernandez, Gates, even Gonzales).

Not really sure yet. Maybe I will try some mocks going Rb/Rb and see what pans out.
----
QB:Vick, Dalton,
RB:Forte, Charles, , Rodgers, D. Wilson,
WR:B. Lloyd, D. Bryant, J. Gordon, Hartline, Hixon, Hilton, Hawkins
TE: Pitta, Rudolph

DEF:Atlanta
IDP: Watt, Lee
12 team 0.5 PPR start 1QB/2RB/2WR/1TE/1 Flex(WR/TE)//DEF/2IDP
Dan_149152
Membership: Retired
Joined: August 11
Total Posts: 33
Offline
Post Date: 08/30/12 18:22
Ok just did another mock. Went Rb/Rb in 1 and 2 and it set me up nicely for the remainder of the draft. I was able to grab Qb and WR in 4 and 5, then in 5 & 6 I was able to grab a TE and a 3rd RB. That leaves me a touch weak at WR, but since we only field two I can try to get some with potential upside and with strenght at RB could potentially make a trade or two.

Going to do a few more like this and see how it pans out. Obviously this is only a template as you never know how the real draft will play out. But having a game plan and some idea as to who might be avaiable around the picks, definitely makes it a little better.
----
QB:Vick, Dalton,
RB:Forte, Charles, , Rodgers, D. Wilson,
WR:B. Lloyd, D. Bryant, J. Gordon, Hartline, Hixon, Hilton, Hawkins
TE: Pitta, Rudolph

DEF:Atlanta
IDP: Watt, Lee
12 team 0.5 PPR start 1QB/2RB/2WR/1TE/1 Flex(WR/TE)//DEF/2IDP
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