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Topic: STICKY: Pass/Run-Rate Projections- 2014
 James_4852
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Post Date: 07/09/14 15:34
http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/47694/260/2014-passrun-rate-projections



Good information for fantasy owners.





James
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Full time Ghostbuster!
Michael_8256
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Post Date: 07/19/14 10:37
James, good stuff as always but the probelm is 6 out of the 9 "run heavy" teams listed...RBBC so unless the league you are in goes to RB postion points rather than individual RB the heady days of the Emmit's, LT's, LJ's Sweetness etc are dead and gone atleast for now...



I don't see any reason (unless you get one of the six RB's early) to take a back in an individual RB postion scorig system till round 5 IMO.



My six and some of these are even a stretch AP, Lynch, Gore, McCoy (stretch), Charles, Lacy (stretch) the rest of the starting RB's RBBC in some form or another...thoughts?
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"RSIIBITSI"

SCORING:
.1 pt per 2-yard pass, 6-pts. per TD, -2 per INT
.1 pt per yard rush/rec, 6-pts. per TD, (NO-PPR) (QB/RB/WR)
.1 pts per yard rec. , 1-PPR 6-pts. per TD (TE'S ONLY !!!)
START: 1-QB, 1-RB, 1-WR, 1-TE, 1-FLEX (RB/TE) 1-FLEX (RB/WR) 1-PK, 1-DST
 James_4852
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Post Date: 07/19/14 14:27
McCoy will not be a stretch since he will be in a hurry up offense creating more plays for him and mediocre receivers in Philly forcing Foles to use the Rb's as receivers. Lacy won't be a stretch and is the bell cow back in Green Bay.

Murray is going to have a great year behind a much improved line and Romo will throw more short passes to rb's then he ever has to save his back from injury. Ball will be a bell cow in Denver unless he starts fumbling and is playing in a hurry up offense like McCoy. He has more value in PPR though. Let's assume this is 1 pt per ten yards passing and receiving. Scoring system makes a difference in this question. L. Bell will be another workhorse back.



Most leagues start 2 wr's and 2 rb's or 2 rb's and 3 wr's. If you wait until round 5 to draft a rb, your in trouble in re-draft leagues unless you have some great keepers. I have seen many people not drafting running backs until round 4 or 5 this season. It was not pretty.

And what about Foster? Everyone is forgetting what he can do when healthy. He could dominate once again.



In your scoring system you could get away with it only if you had a great rb as a keeper. But what if he goes down to injury?

I will tell you who a big sleeper this year and that is Jennings in New York.



I still think the best way to draft a team is to have power balance in the Rb and WR groups. It protects you against the injury bug.
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Michael_8256
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Post Date: 07/21/14 12:41
I agree with McCoy and Lacy. it's not that I forget about Foster...don't trust him to stay on the field.

Dont think ink I can trust Murray either...IMO that Dallas situation could get real ugly real quick.

Dont really trust Coach Fox he was pretty much an RBBC guy in Carolina.

I do agree that Jennings could be a good sleeper!

I'm way too old school to not take RB(s) early but it's slim pickings IMO. I you don't get one of the 6 - 8 bell cows left in the NFL you are getting a part timer, considering there are 32 teams it's pretty sad the you would have a difficult time in a 10 team league having 15 - 20 bell cows
----
"RSIIBITSI"

SCORING:
.1 pt per 2-yard pass, 6-pts. per TD, -2 per INT
.1 pt per yard rush/rec, 6-pts. per TD, (NO-PPR) (QB/RB/WR)
.1 pts per yard rec. , 1-PPR 6-pts. per TD (TE'S ONLY !!!)
START: 1-QB, 1-RB, 1-WR, 1-TE, 1-FLEX (RB/TE) 1-FLEX (RB/WR) 1-PK, 1-DST
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